After perusing ukpollingreport it looks to me like the 4th seat in the Welsh region will be a straight fight between the Liberal Democrats and UKIP. Given that my dislike of xenophobes is stronger than my dislike of anti-nuclear policies it looks like I’ll be voting LibDem tomorrow.
I think the seats will go down like this in Wales:
- Conservative
- Labour
- Plaid Cymru
- UKIP
In descending order of their share of the vote. Although obviously I hope that the 4th seat doesn’t go to UKIP.
No chance I’m afraid, rumour is that it will be:
1. Plaid Cymru
2. Conservatives
3. Labour
4. UKIP (whether they get enough to win the fourth seat is 50:50, if they don;t then plaid will get two)